Will Platreef Shaft #3 have achieved operational ore hoisting by

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if Ivanhoe Mines has officially announced that Platreef Shaft #3 is hoisting production ore from the Flatreef orebody on a sustained basis, confirmed by a press release, quarterly report, or investor communication before December 31, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Context: Shaft #3 is a 5.1-meter diameter production shaft designed to boost Platreef's ore hoisting capacity to 5 Mtpa. It is the key bottleneck for Phase 2 ramp-up. Management guided April 2026 for operational status, but mining mega-projects routinely suffer late-stage delays. Eskom load-shedding and Limpopo Province weather add risk.

24h Volume: $4,005. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.