Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if Kamoa-Kakula's total copper in concentrate production for the calendar year January–December 2027 exceeds 500,000 tonnes (100% basis), as reported in Ivanhoe Mines quarterly production reports. Resolves NO otherwise. Settlement is June 30, 2028 to allow time for Q4 2027 production data to be published (Ivanhoe reports quarterly with ~45 day lag). The Q4 2027 report is typically available by mid-February 2028. Context: The 500,000 tpa target was Ivanhoe's flagship milestone — the point at which Kamoa-Kakula would rank among the world's top 3 copper mines. Originally targeted for 2027, flooding in May 2025 and a reserve downgrade in March 2026 pushed the timeline to 2028. Phase 3 commissioning and the Project 95 recovery upgrade are both required to reach this rate.

24h Volume: $6,125. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 7/1/2028.