How long will the 2-week Iran/US ceasefire last?
Prediction market on manifold. Hopefully this lasts the full two weeks. Rounds down to the lowest integer. I will not bet on this market. I will resolve using reliable news sources and my best judgment. Update 2026-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The clock starts from the time the ceasefire is confirmed If the ceasefire never starts, the market resolves as 0 Update 2026-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The ceasefire has started; the clock is now running. Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve based on the balance of probability that the ceasefire was broken, using their best judgment as more information becomes available.
24h Volume: $1,192.703. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 4/8/2027.