Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026. Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting. If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question. I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).
24h Volume: $1,225.025. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.