Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco, 2600.HK)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 6.4 million tonnes. Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution. Context. Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) is the second-largest single producer in China after Hongqiao. 2024 production rose 6.76% YoY to ~6 Mt, with a new 400 kt/yr Yunnan green smelter commissioned and further capacity adds announced. The 6.4 Mt strike for 2027 reflects continued moderate growth from the 2024 base; sits near the median plausible 2027 outcome. Resolution sources (priority order): Chalco annual results announcement (HKEx 2600 / SSE 601600) https://www.chalco.com.cn/en/tzzgxen/yjbgen/ Chalco quarterly performance updates https://www.chalco.com.cn/en/ International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/ Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation Related markets across the cluster (calendar year 2027) Upstream supply: Indonesia primary aluminum production Indonesia alumina capacity China alumina production Guinea bauxite exports Producers (CY2027): Alcoa Century EGA Hindalco Hongqiao Norsk Hydro Rio Tinto Rusal Vedanta Electricity hubs (CY2027): MISO Indiana Hub Nord Pool OMIE Spain Vic NEM WA SWIS Same market, other calendar year: Chalco CY2028

24h Volume: $5,503.824. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/31/2028.