Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.8 million tonnes. Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution. Context. Emirates Global Aluminium. 2024 actual 2.69 Mt; modest UAE growth. The 2.8 Mt strike for 2028 reflects continued UAE-base growth; the Century-EGA Inola JV first metal targeted late 2028 contributes only a partial year. EGA's consolidation footprint of Inola is partial (50/50 JV). Resolution sources (priority order): EGA annual financial results press release https://www.ega.ae/en/ EGA media center / production milestone announcements https://media.ega.ae/ International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/ Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation Related markets across the cluster (calendar year 2028) Upstream supply: Indonesia primary aluminum production Indonesia alumina capacity China alumina production Guinea bauxite exports Producers (CY2028): Alcoa Century Chalco Hindalco Hongqiao Norsk Hydro Rio Tinto Rusal Vedanta Electricity hubs (CY2028): MISO Indiana Hub Nord Pool OMIE Spain Vic NEM WA SWIS Same market, other calendar year: EGA CY2027

24h Volume: $3,095. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/31/2029.