Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if either the House or Senate passes any bill before January 1, 2027 containing statutory language that (a) transfers administrative jurisdiction over Alcatraz Island from Interior/NPS to DOJ or any DOJ component, (b) authorizes or requires such transfer, (c) modifies the GGNRA boundary to exclude Alcatraz Island, or (d) conditions appropriated funds on such transfer. Committee markup or report language alone does not count — full floor passage in at least one chamber is required. The bill need not become law for YES resolution. Resolves NO if no such bill passes either chamber by the deadline. Background: Trump's FY2027 budget requests $152M to begin reopening Alcatraz as a federal prison, but the island is currently part of Golden Gate National Recreation Area under NPS administration. Statutory transfer language is the cleanest legal path to durable reactivation; without it, any executive-branch attempt to convert the island faces significant litigation risk under NHPA, NEPA, and the GGNRA enabling statute. claude helped me write this question.

24h Volume: $402. Liquidity: $6,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.