Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes. Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution. Context. Vedanta Aluminium is part of Vedanta Limited; primary smelters at Jharsuguda and BALCO (Korba). FY24 (Apr 2023 – Mar 2024) production was ~2.4 Mt with brownfield expansion ramping at Lanjigarh refinery and Jharsuguda smelter. Vedanta's stated FY26 target is ~2.8–3.0 Mt. The 2.6 Mt strike for calendar 2027 sits near the median plausible outcome; calendar-year resolution sums FY27 Q4 + FY28 Q1–Q3 quarterly releases. Resolution sources (priority order): Vedanta Limited quarterly results and annual report https://www.vedantalimited.com/ Vedanta Aluminium quarterly production updates https://vedantaaluminium.com/ International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/ Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation Related markets across the cluster (calendar year 2027) Upstream supply: Indonesia primary aluminum production Indonesia alumina capacity China alumina production Guinea bauxite exports Producers (CY2027): Alcoa Century Chalco EGA Hindalco Hongqiao Norsk Hydro Rio Tinto Rusal Electricity hubs (CY2027): MISO Indiana Hub Nord Pool OMIE Spain Vic NEM WA SWIS Same market, other calendar year: Vedanta CY2028
24h Volume: $20. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/31/2028.