Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

Prediction market on manifold. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections Update 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.

24h Volume: $157.603. Liquidity: $3,350. Resolves: 11/4/2026.