How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?

Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves to the number of whole weeks the Strait of Hormoz remains closed, counting from February 28th (the last day with normal-ish traffic). By preference, the resolution will be based data from Portwatch (https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730); the Strait will be considered "open" if EITHER of these two conditions are met: 1) a single day with over 100 transits 2) a 7-day average of over 30 transits per day This is intended to consider the Strait "open" even if traffic is substantially reduced, but not get triggered by a handful of ships breaking through. If Portwatch doesn't show data (as it currently doesn't for me), this the market will resolve based a consensus of reporting that the Strait is open at the level described above. I will not trade on this market.

24h Volume: $344.918. Liquidity: $2,500. Resolves: 6/6/2026.