Prediction market on manifold. This market refers to OpenAI's next open-weight model release, regardless of what it is ultimately named. Minor naming changes from the working name 'GPT-OSS' will count. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @NU2IyqRq0u @LhlNpLyA2h @8AyI5Np5yl @OchSUnInIq @cgl2IP0yIC @cstO2OAIhZ @LU5RqqqEuA @t5Eh629zRE @2OzL6Q56y8 (this market) @IZO2UZgUNO @2CqdhIO9cU @6SLuEUSN2g
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,700. Resolves: 12/31/2026.