OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves to YES if one year after market creation (7/18/2026), OpenAI's principle consumer AI agent product continues to refuse to complete captchas and other features designed specifically to stop AIs. Resolves to NO if at any point before that, OpenAI's principle consumer AI agent product is willing to complete captchas and other similar features to the best of its ability (even if it does not always succeed).

24h Volume: $30. Liquidity: $1,500. Resolves: 7/18/2026.