Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves to YES if the May 2025 edition of the US BLS statistics indicates the sum of employement in the following categories has declined by at least 5% from the May 2023 numbers: Web and Digital Interface Designers Graphic Designers Interior Designers Writers and Authors (includes copywriters for advertising etc, as well as authors and screenwriters) May 2023 numbers are forthcoming. Background: there's a perception that generative AI will replace creative workers, and therefore demand for workers like graphic designers and writers will fall dramatically. There's also a 5 year version of this market. Update 2026-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 2025 OEWS estimates will be delayed until mid-to-late May 2026 due to a lapse in federal appropriations. The market close date has been extended accordingly.

24h Volume: $1. Liquidity: $1,250. Resolves: 5/31/2026.