Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Prediction market on manifold. https://www.econlib.org/archives/2014/06/bauman_climate_1.html Arguing for YES is Bryan's uncanny track record -- he's never lost a public bet ever! Arguing for NO is that global temperatures have gone up a lot in the 8 years since the bet was shaken on. You can look at the graph and see that Bryan Caplan was wrong. Related market: https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-bryan-caplan-lose-any-of-his-p Close date updated to 2024-05-15 3:59 pm

24h Volume: $1. Liquidity: $1,210. Resolves: 1/21/2029.