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Prediction market on manifold. An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before 2026. This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.
24h Volume: $2. Liquidity: $1,200. Resolves: 12/31/2026.