How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024. Independents count based on which party they caucus with. The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026? This market covers the remaining 367 seats. Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.

24h Volume: $6.25. Liquidity: $1,100. Resolves: 11/2/2026.