Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if the AfD is part of the government on state level. This can be as part of a coalition or with an absolute majority. Tolerating a minority government does not count. I will follow the mainstream media consensus on who is part of the government. Generally, this involves having a minister who belongs to the party. There are currently five elections remaining on state level in this timeframe (https://www.wahlrecht.de/termine.htm) and also some states where the state of the parliament seems somewhat unstable after the elections last year.
24h Volume: $219.014. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.