Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?

Prediction market on manifold. This market will resolve YES if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Democratic Party wins at least 225 seats. Definition of "Democratic Seat": Any seat won by a candidate who ran on the Democratic ballot line. Independents who caucus with Democrats do not count toward this total unless they were elected as Democrats. Resolution Source: This market will resolve based on the "Partisan Breakdown" table provided by Ballotpedia (link below). Timing: Resolution will occur once Ballotpedia has called all 435 races. If any race is subject to a recount or legal challenge, resolution will be delayed until a winner is certified or conceded. Special Case: If a seat is vacant on Election Day, it is not counted until the 2026 general election result for that district is finalized. Resolution Link: https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2026

24h Volume: $30. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 11/3/2026.