Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve YES if, according to both resolution sources, Ukraine achieves a net territorial gain in the week ending 16 May. This market will resolve NO if, according to both resolution sources, Ukraine does not achieve a net territorial gain in the week ending 16 May. This market will otherwise resolve 50% YES and 50% NO. Resolution sources The resolution sources are: DeepStateUA Poulet volant Clarifications DeepStateUA's estimate will be obtained by comparing its most recent update as of 23:59 EEST on 16 May with its update at 23:43 EEST on 9 May. Ukraine's net territorial change will be inferred from changes to the area controlled by Russia and the area controlled by neither side. I will not trade in this market.

24h Volume: $146. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 5/17/2026.