Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc.... I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made. Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
24h Volume: $816.555. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/10/2026.