Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. If Marco Rubio leaves the Senate, there will be a special election in 2026 to decide who will fill the position for the remaining 2 years of that term. If a GOP candidate wins this election, this market resolves yes. If a non-GOP candidate wins, the election isn't held, or some other outcome occurs, this market resolves NO.

24h Volume: $14.363. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 11/11/2026.