Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?

Prediction market on manifold. Inspired by this twitter poll and surrounding discussion: [tweet]Resolves based on consensus of credible reporting after the election, or certified results if we have to wait for them. Independents will be counted as the party they have announced they will caucus with.

24h Volume: $2. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 11/6/2026.