Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Prediction market on manifold. Details in this blog post. Barnett wins if: By January 1, 2043, real gross world product exceeds 130% of its previous yearly peak value for any single year

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2043.