How many listens will my songs have at the end of 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. With the 2025 markets about to end, I decided to create a new market for 2026 to see if any of the music I create is expected to gain traction. In general, the polls of this music, eliminating the users who always vote 1 to every song, seem to indicate an increase in the quality I am able to produce over time, whether that is because of my skill or because the models are getting better. This market will resolve to the number of listens of the all songs I've posted to Soundcloud on December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59pm EST. The count is listens over all time, so the starting value is already close to 10,000. Given current trends, I expect the models to surpass manual human quality with the next version of Suno, if it is publicly released. If AI music models become heavily restricted, then you should factor in the possibility that I will be unable to make releases at some point until open source models catch up. I expect to create songs in a variety of genres, not just a single type.

24h Volume: $41. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.