Will Jinbaobao's TTM tin production fall below 60 kt on May 31, 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production is reported below 60,000 tonnes as of May 31, 2026, based on official company disclosures or authoritative industry reports such as the USGS or Jinbaobao's own production statements. This threshold reflects the significant impact of Jinbaobao's export ban, which covers about 12% of global tin supply and tightens market availability. Given ongoing geopolitical constraints limiting supply growth despite high prices, this market captures whether Jinbaobao's production remains constrained near current levels. Only primary mine production counts; secondary or recycling outputs are excluded. Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability. Source: Article

24h Volume: $1. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 5/31/2026.