Starmer out before Badenoch?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolution will be by primarily by who makes a speech announcing their leaving their leadership (any leadership) position first? If Starmer does, resolves YES. If Badenoch does, resolves NO. If it is sufficiently obvious they are not leader any more, will resolve as well. The market will be extended as necessary. Will not resolve before one goes.
24h Volume: $16. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/24/2028.