If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE. Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

24h Volume: $556.36. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2028.