Will Noam Chomsky publicly admit his theory of linguistics is mostly wrong before turning 100?

Prediction market on manifold. Noam Chomsky, a renowned linguist, philosopher, and cognitive scientist, proposed the theory of Universal Grammar in the 1950s. This theory suggests that humans possess an innate language faculty, allowing them to learn any human language to which they are exposed during their critical period of development. Chomsky's theory has been influential in the fields of linguistics and cognitive science. However, it has also faced significant criticism and alternative theories have been proposed. Before December 7th, 2028 (Noam Chomsky's 100th birthday), will Noam Chomsky publicly admit that his theory of linguistics, specifically the theory of Universal Grammar, was mostly wrong? Resolution Criteria: This question will resolve positively if, before December 7th, 2028, Noam Chomsky makes a public statement that meets all the following criteria: Chomsky explicitly refers to his theory of Universal Grammar, which includes the following concepts: a. The existence of an innate language faculty in humans. b. The presence of a critical period for language development. c. The idea that all human languages share a common underlying structure. Chomsky's statement must clearly indicate that he believes his theory of Universal Grammar is mostly wrong. This may be expressed through: a. Directly stating that the theory is mostly incorrect. b. Acknowledging that alternative theories better explain language acquisition and development. c. Recognizing that key components of Universal Grammar have been disproven or lack sufficient empirical support. The statement must be made in a public forum, such as: a. A published article or book authored by Noam Chomsky. b. A recorded lecture, presentation, or interview featuring Noam Chomsky. c. A post on a verified social media account belonging to Noam Chomsky. The statement must be linked in the comment section of this question before the time of resolution. If multiple statements are submitted, they will be evaluated collectively to determine if the resolution criteria are met. The statement must be unambiguous and thorough, leaving no doubt that Noam Chomsky is admitting that his theory of Universal Grammar is mostly wrong. Ambiguous or partial admissions will not be considered sufficient for a positive resolution. This question will resolve negatively if, before December 7th, 2028, no qualifying public statement is made by Noam Chomsky that meets the above criteria. If there is ambiguity or debate about whether a particular statement constitutes an admission that his theory is mostly wrong, I will use my discretion to determine the appropriate resolution.

24h Volume: $9. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/7/2028.