Who will win the 2026 Norway Chess Tournament?

Prediction market on manifold. Norway Chess will be 6 player double round robin tournament. The players first play a classical game (3 points for a win, 0 for loss) and if it ends in a draw, they play follow up Argmageddon game (black wins if drawn), where they get 1.5 points for a win and 1 point for a loss. It starts on 25 of May and ends on 5th of June. https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-norway-chess

24h Volume: $128.322. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/4/2026.