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Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes. Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution. Context. Vedanta Aluminium. FY24 2.4 Mt; brownfield expansion ramping. The 2.6 Mt strike for calendar 2028 sits near the run-rate; if the FY26 2.8–3.0 Mt target is met on schedule, 2028 production could come in above this strike. Calendar-year resolution sums FY28 Q4 + FY29 Q1–Q3 quarterly releases. Resolution sources (priority order): Vedanta Limited quarterly results and annual report https://www.vedantalimited.com/ Vedanta Aluminium quarterly production updates https://vedantaaluminium.com/ International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/ Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation Related markets across the cluster (calendar year 2028) Upstream supply: Indonesia primary aluminum production Indonesia alumina capacity China alumina production Guinea bauxite exports Producers (CY2028): Alcoa Century Chalco EGA Hindalco Hongqiao Norsk Hydro Rio Tinto Rusal Electricity hubs (CY2028): MISO Indiana Hub Nord Pool OMIE Spain Vic NEM WA SWIS Same market, other calendar year: Vedanta CY2027
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/31/2029.