Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if S-7263 passes within 2026. Resolves YES if that bill is substantively included in another bill or package that passes this year as well, or if it’s resubmitted under a different number. Generally, I will attempt to resolve in the spirit of this question, not the explicit letter of these criteria. S-7263 is a bill seeking to regulate AIs giving medical/legal/professional advice, allowing people to sue chatbot owners who violate this ban. If S-7263 is substantially amended to the point that it is in my estimation no longer substantively similar to its current form (let’s say, 80% less potent or different from its current form) then this will resolve NO. In gray areas, I may resolve to PROB, judging from a consensus of credible reporting and feedback from other Manifold moderators. Background: https://reason.com/2026/03/04/this-bill-in-new-york-state-would-protect-lawyers-from-ai-competition/
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.