Will Haiti hold the first round of its presidential election before September 1, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. Al Jazeera: [Haiti’s PM casts doubt on presidential vote by August as gang clashes grow](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/11/hundreds-displaced-medical-services-suspended-amid-gang-violence-in-haiti) > Haiti’s Prime Minister Alix Didier ⁠Fils-Aime has said the [security situation](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/11/six-million-people-in-haiti-face-acute-hunger-as-gang-violence-spreads) in the Caribbean nation is not stable enough to hold presidential elections scheduled for August. > Fils-Aime’s comments on Monday came as [clashes between rival gangs](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/at-least-70-killed-30-wounded-in-haiti-gang-attack-rights-group-says) escalated in Haiti’s capital, Port-au-Prince, forcing hospitals to evacuate patients and hundreds of people to flee their homes. > Haiti has not held elections since 2016, with successive governments delaying polls as powerful armed gangs cemented their control over the capital. The Provisional Electoral Council of Haiti's official electoral calendar [maintains](https://haitiantimes.com/2026/01/06/haiti-cep-maintains-elections-august-30-2026/) August 30, 2026 as the date of the first round of national elections.

Resolves: 9/1/2026.