Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Prediction market on manifold. Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience. Resolves as YES if such a system is created before we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1). Numeric markets: @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors AGI questions: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048 Fusion questions: @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2 @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13 Other reference points for AGI: @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio (this question) Other reference points for fusion reactors: @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3 Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

24h Volume: $2. Liquidity: $1,240. Resolves: 3/1/2100.