Will tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves yes if the government refunds businesses and/or importers for the tariffs they paid. Stakes in tariffs bought by hedge funds count. Update 2026-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Majority is defined as: if over 50% of the tariffs collected were refunded, in dollars.

24h Volume: $43.412. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/20/2029.