Manifest 2026 Prop Bets

Prediction market on manifold. Manifest 2026 will take place June 12-14 in Berkeley, California. This market is for prop bets about the event! Note that all bets are about the Manifest conference itself and not LessOnline or Summer Camp. Add anything that you think would be: Fun to predict, might or might not happen Reasonably simple to track whether it happened or not (nothing too hard to count) Respectful of people's privacy I will attend, and I'll resolve everything I can. But any staff or mods are welcome to resolve any options as well, as prop bet markets are hard for any one person to manage. Markets will generally resolve according to the common sense expectation of how they were intended, not on technicalities. For example, a temporary tattoo would not count for the crane tattoo option. Market manipulation is encouraged as long as it is pro-social. Traders should also expect liberal use of N/A resolutions in ambiguous cases. Update 2026-05-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The "BTC falls below $100,000 during the conference" option will be resolved N/A (it was a carryover from last year's market and is not applicable).

24h Volume: $6,954.85. Liquidity: $11,400. Resolves: 6/30/2026.