If we automate every FIFA World Cup market and resolution, how many traders will @ManifoldSports have by the end?
Prediction market on manifold. Across ~104 matches, how many people will trade? Imagine the following (non-binding): 1,000 liquidity for regular matches 10,000 liquidity for all finals Markets auto-resolve quickly (within ~15 minutes) after they end Markets are available and visible quickly/easily with a dedicated dashboard Please share your thoughts in the comments! Adding trader counts across all markets, meaning people who are a unique trader in multiple markets will be counted multiple times. World Cup finals conclude July 19. If we don't have any markets posted on @ManifoldSports by June 15 (end of Manifest), I will N/A this market. There is currently a PR in review for backend functionality enabling batch market creation, auto-resolve, and auto-creation of markets for games at future stages of the WC. Once live, @ManifoldSports will generate the first round of official markets for all predetermined matchups. First match is June 11, but the market will have a meaningfully different outcome if we start sooner vs later. Follow @ManifoldSports for updates!
24h Volume: $2,273.7. Liquidity: $11,000. Resolves: 5/14/2027.