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Prediction market on manifold. Resolves Yes if it passes, Resolves no if it is on the ballot and fails, and resolves n/a if it doesn’t appear on the ballot. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcabillionairetax/will-california-have-a-billionaire-tax-referendum/kxcabillionairetax-26nov03 I will use Kalshi to decide if it is on the ballot. I can resolve n/a early before the end of the year if it is impossible to appear on the ballot.
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.