Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?
Prediction market on manifold. A leaked audio has surfaced where AWS's CEO Matt Garman claims that "most developers might not be coding" in the next 24 months: https://www.businessinsider.com/aws-ceo-developers-stop-coding-ai-takes-over-2024-8 This market seeks to track his prediction as regards AWS itself. This market will resolve YES if a credible source states that 50% or more of the developers working for AWS as of early September 2024 are laid off or moved to non-software engineering positions such as product management within the next two years. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
24h Volume: $60. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/10/2026.