$300M subsidy: Did Israel bomb an evacuation route?

Prediction market on manifold. Background: There was a blast on the 13th of October on the evacuation route on Salah al-Din street. [image]Gaza health ministry says killed 70 people. This was the day after the IDF's 24 hour notice for combat operations. Hamas and the Israeli military have blamed each other for the blast _____________________________________ Resolution criteria: (I would appreciate advice on a more objective resolution criteria and will update the criteria accordingly) I will not bet in this market. I will make a judgement based on arguments in the comments and a critical reading of many sources, including the following: Post war report from amnesty international Eg: https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/mde21/1178/2015/en/ Findings from Isreal's Military Advocate General's Corps More about them here: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_Advocate_General Eg: https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/military-advocate-general-s-corps/mag-corps-press-release-update-2-dec-2014 Official Palestinian reports Offical reports from other governments Market resolution goes based on what I expect the median informed, intelligent person reading the same evidence would come away with. If I judge there is not a preponderance of evidence pointing one way or another, I'll resolve NA. I would appreciate recommendations of other high quality sources to add to the list. (https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/will-us-public-opinion-shift-toward-6537f84f108e)

24h Volume: $3. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/11/2026.