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Prediction market on manifold. I'll be using this list for qualifying conspiracy theories: https://www.teenvogue.com/story/most-popular-conspiracy-theories [link preview]I'll resolve this market YES if a consensus forms that any of these theories is broadly correct before the market resolution date. Otherwise I will resolve NO. A longstanding wikipedia article stating that one of these things is true would resolve YES, though I'm open to large polls of experts or other standards for defining consensus. I will not bet in this market.
24h Volume: $225. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2030.