Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. Only software, api calls, agents etc. count. Hardware does not count Only "general-purpose" AI counts. A model designed specifically for the US government use does not count. A cybersecurity agent does not count. The US government must take a formal action. Statements alone do not qualify. A model provider blocking a country from using a LLM does not qualify.

24h Volume: $37.999. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.