Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?

Prediction market on manifold. Josh Simons has announced that he will stand down as MP in order trigger a by-election in the Makerfield constituency so that Andy Burnham can re-enter parliament. What party will win this by-election? If the by election doesn't actually happen, this market will resolve N/A

24h Volume: $5,068.634. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.