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Prediction market on manifold. Josh Simons has announced that he will stand down as MP in order trigger a by-election in the Makerfield constituency so that Andy Burnham can re-enter parliament. What party will win this by-election? If the by election doesn't actually happen, this market will resolve N/A
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,100. Resolves: 12/31/2026.