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Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 1.4 million tonnes. Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution. Context. Hindalco Industries. FY24 1.34 Mt; brownfield expansion adding ~50–100 kt/yr through 2027–28. The 1.4 Mt strike for calendar 2028 sits near the run-rate; expansion ramp could push 2028 modestly above. Calendar-year resolution requires summing FY28 Q4 + FY29 Q1–Q3 quarterly press releases. Resolution sources (priority order): Hindalco Industries quarterly results and integrated annual report https://www.hindalco.com/investors/financials Hindalco quarterly press releases https://www.hindalco.com/media/press-releases International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/ Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation Related markets across the cluster (calendar year 2028) Upstream supply: Indonesia primary aluminum production Indonesia alumina capacity China alumina production Guinea bauxite exports Producers (CY2028): Alcoa Century Chalco EGA Hongqiao Norsk Hydro Rio Tinto Rusal Vedanta Electricity hubs (CY2028): MISO Indiana Hub Nord Pool OMIE Spain Vic NEM WA SWIS Same market, other calendar year: Hindalco CY2027
24h Volume: $7. Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 5/31/2029.