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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market resolves based on FIDE's monthly published "Top 100 Players" list for classical chess. The resolution will use the first official FIDE rating list published in 2027. Each answer resolves YES if that player appears in the top 10 of the FIDE classical ratings at that time, and NO otherwise. Only active players (as per FIDE's definition) will be considered. Check the official FIDE ratings at https://ratings.fide.com Background FIDE governs international chess competition and publishes monthly rankings of the top 100 players based on classical time control ratings. The Elo rating system is used. Considerations Rankings fluctuate monthly based on classical tournament results. Players may take extended breaks from competition, affecting their rating trajectory. Sites like https://2700chess.com/ compute "live ratings" which are an indication of how players are performing in between official ratings lists. Answers were seeded with top 20 at market creation. I will bet on this market.
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $2,100. Resolves: 12/31/2026.