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Prediction market on manifold. Time will start from the day of the wedding (if no reception, then day of court house marriage license) until date of official public announcement or official reporting of a divorce. Rumors and "separations" don't count, needs to be actual divorce filing. A full year needs to occur to make it into next category (e.g. 5 years and 10 months would be "3-5 years") Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If either or both spouses die while still married (before any divorce filing), the market will resolve to N/A (void).
24h Volume: $605.92. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 8/26/2045.