When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video?

Prediction market on manifold. This market covers videos generated by AI from scratch (for instance from a text prompt), not AI transformations of an input video, which have existed for some time now. The market will resolve positively when a channel on YouTube or Twitch will stream at least 25 hours of realtime AI-generated video in the span of 48 hours. Traditional procedurally generated videos do not count. There should be consensus in the community that the video is AI-generated. The channel owner should declare it, and no plausible refutation should be published within a week after the broadcast. If the channel owner remains silent, I might resolve the market based on a poll or the comments. I will most probably notice if any gen-AI channel gets linked on the front page on HN, or gets viral on Twitter, but in case I miss it, please link it in the comment if you come across the channel that fits the description. I will generally resolve each answer as NO as soon as the respective time period is over, but I will delay the resolution by at least a week in both potential "YES" and "NO" cases in case I miss an existing channel, or if the claim that a stream is AI-generated gets refuted. I do not bet on my own questions. Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For future answers, the resolution process will be updated: An answer will be resolved to NO immediately after its corresponding time period ends, unless a qualifying channel is linked before the period is over. This removes the one-week grace period for submitting evidence that was mentioned in the original description. Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will take at face value what a stream claims to be (i.e., that it is live/realtime AI-generated video), as there is little incentive to falsely claim a pre-rendered video is live.

24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,560. Resolves: 3/14/2028.