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Prediction market on manifold. Minor changes to the name, such as 'Gemini 3.6', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 3.5, will count for the purpose of this market. The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution. See also: @Grok 5 (xAI) release date@Gemini 3.2 (Google) release date@Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date (this market) @Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date@GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date@GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date@Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date@Claude Mythos (Anthropic) release date@V4 (DeepSeek) release date@R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date@Llama 5 (Meta) release date@Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date@Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date@GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date@M3 (Minimax) release date@Gemma 4 (Google) release date@OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date@Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date@Veo 4 (Google) release date@New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date@'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date
24h Volume: $5,198.907. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.