How much above (or below) baseline will Merch sales move due to Manifest?

Prediction market on manifold. (Visible on the stats page. Select the Purchases tab -> scroll down to Merch) Threshold buckets, by distance from 0 (no change). e.g. at 19% more revenue, resolves Baseline-ish, but just 1% more at 20% extra revenue resolves +20%, while 65% less revenue resolves -50%, and so forth. Event dates: Jun 12 to 14th, 2026, plus Jun 15th's numbers Will compare the baseline daily average Mana revenue before Manifest (~1 month of data will be visible to compare, somebody please remind me to check it) to the daily average during the event window (+1 day for inspired folks traveling home) Closes on the last day of Manifest

24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/14/2026.