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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria: The Associated Press and the New York Times both report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan* Or At least 1000 military personnel from the People's Liberation Army have been deployed to Taiwan for the purpose of putting the sovereignty of the main island under PRC rule. *The date that is reported within the articles rather than the date of publication of the articles, will be considered the invasion date.
24h Volume: $340.619. Liquidity: $1,315. Resolves: 1/1/2031.