What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?

Prediction market on manifold. This question resolves once China invades Taiwan. The statements that are relevant as warning signs to the invasion of Taiwan, and refer to things that occurred in the 12 months prior to the date of the invasion (or overlap significantly with this period) and up until 48 hours before the invasion start time, resolve as YES. The statements must be at least adjacent to Taiwan or connected to significant geopolitical players with China/Taiwan interests. Events that could heighten global tensions, be broadly disruptive or are significant historical events are also acceptable. This includes but is not limited to major technological developments and catastrophes. In the context of this question, the invasion start time is considered to be the first moment a soldier from the Chinese mainland sets foot on the main island of Taiwan as part of an invasion force. Soldiers that are part of a covert infiltration operation are not included. If there is some ambiguity about which exact time should be considered based on this criteria, then a "best matching" time will be selected. Statements that refer to things that did not occur resolve as NO. Answers that occurred strictly more than 12 months before the invasion resolve as NO. Answers that are uncertain or ambiguous resolve as N/A. If this invasion does not take place before January 1st 2100, then all the answers resolve as N/A.

24h Volume: $132.464. Liquidity: $9,475. Resolves: 1/1/2100.